Will Robots Replace Barista?
The Geppetto Robot Impact Score for the Barista role is 58/100 (medium risk band). This is a composite research estimate of automation exposure across the occupation — not a prediction about any individual job.
Automation risk breakdown
| Composite impact score | 58/100 |
|---|---|
| Risk band (OECD) | Medium |
| Oxford (Frey & Osborne) score | 72/100 |
| IFR deployment score | 6/10 |
| Timeline | Near Term |
| Impact type | Partial Displacement |
| Sector | Hospitality |
| Median annual salary (US) | $31,080 (BLS OES 2024) |
| Current global employment | 4,950,000 |
| O*NET code | 35-3011.00 |
| Robots tracked for this role | 11 |
How this score is calculated
The composite Robot Impact Score weights O*NET task data (35%), IFR robot deployment figures (30%), Oxford and OECD academic risk estimates (20%), and robot density for the role (15%). Scores describe occupation-level exposure and are estimates, not forecasts.