Will Robots Replace Delivery Driver — Last Mile?
The Geppetto Robot Impact Score for the Delivery Driver — Last Mile role is 86/100 (high risk band). This is a composite research estimate of automation exposure across the occupation — not a prediction about any individual job.
Automation risk breakdown
| Composite impact score | 86/100 |
|---|---|
| Risk band (OECD) | High |
| Oxford (Frey & Osborne) score | 94/100 |
| IFR deployment score | 7/10 |
| Timeline | Near Term |
| Impact type | Full Displacement |
| Sector | Transport |
| Median annual salary (US) | $40,560 (BLS OES 2024) |
| Current global employment | 11,250,000 |
| O*NET code | 53-3033.00 |
| Robots tracked for this role | 21 |
How this score is calculated
The composite Robot Impact Score weights O*NET task data (35%), IFR robot deployment figures (30%), Oxford and OECD academic risk estimates (20%), and robot density for the role (15%). Scores describe occupation-level exposure and are estimates, not forecasts.